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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
52.82% ( 1) | 23.52% ( 0.09) | 23.67% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -1.42) | 45.68% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -1.37) | 68% ( 1.37) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% ( -0.28) | 47.59% ( 0.29) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -1.69) | 33.39% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( -1.9) | 70.01% ( 1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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