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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
25.84% | 23.81% | 50.35% |
Both teams to score 56.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% | 44.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% | 67.3% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% | 31.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.48% | 67.52% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% | 17.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.28% | 48.71% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 6.52% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.84% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
15 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 27 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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