Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.