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Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Coritiba
Corinthians
3 - 1
Coritiba
Guedes (36'), Adson (67'), Gustavo (85')
Ramos (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castan (54')
Val (16'), Farias (82'), Martinez (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Coritiba

Corinthians are yet to lose at home in the league this season, and we think they will get the better of a Coritiba side that have lost seven of their last nine away games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
60.79% (-0.16 -0.16) 23.22% (0.115 0.11) 15.98% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.89% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.358 -0.36)54.37% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.299 -0.3)75.75% (0.294 0.29)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)17.55% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.326 -0.33)48.08% (0.32 0.32)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.23% (-0.159 -0.16)46.76% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69% (-0.12 -0.12)82.31% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 60.79%
    Coritiba 15.98%
    Draw 23.22%
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 60.79%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 15.98%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Coritiba

Corinthians
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Coritiba
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2020 12.30am
Coritiba
0-1
Corinthians

Mailton (20'), Augusto (78')
Santos (21' pen.)
Vieira (63'), Fagner (69')
Aug 20, 2020 1.30am
Corinthians
3-1
Coritiba
Natel (38'), Jo (49'), Silva (87')
Araos (17'), Piton (73')
Sassa (42')
Patrick (28')
Sasse (15')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo19152235112447
2Gremio1810352823533
3FlamengoFlamengo199553124732
4Fluminense199462519631
5PalmeirasPalmeiras1887333171631
6BragantinoBragantino1887326161031
7Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR188462622428
8Cuiaba188462119228
9Sao Paulo197662419527
10Atletico Mineiro197662217527
11FortalezaFortaleza197572119226
12Cruzeiro186661915424
13InternacionalInternacional196671723-624
14Corinthians186572021-123
15GoiasGoias196491827-922
16Bahia194691825-718
17SantosSantos194691931-1218
18Coritiba1935111836-1814
19Vasco da GamaVasco1733111328-1512
20America MineiroAmerica Mineiro1824121941-2210

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