Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.
-0.3) 
0.14) 
