Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.