Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
41.4% | 24.13% | 34.46% |
Both teams to score 60.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.11% | 41.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% | 64.29% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% | 20.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% | 52.85% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% | 23.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% | 58.14% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.91% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 27 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
6 | Macarthur | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
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