MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 18:20:23| >> :600:13912426:13912426:
Fiji national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Papua New Guinea national football team

Fiji
1 - 2
P. New Guinea

Waranaivalu (12')
Naresh (34')
Waranaivalu (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kepo (45+2'), Semmy (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Fiji and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: Fiji 1-0 Papua New Guinea

Both nations will fancy their chances of success on Thursday, though Fiji will have the psychological edge against Papua New Guinea considering they are unbeaten in each of the last five meetings. Although there is little to separate these two nations, we feel that Fiji will edge out their opponents to claim a slender victory in Qatar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
FijiDrawPapua New Guinea
48.48%25.27%26.25%
Both teams to score 52.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16%50.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.73%
Fiji Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01%20.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.24%53.76%
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Fiji 48.47%
    Papua New Guinea 26.25%
    Draw 25.26%
FijiDrawPapua New Guinea
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 26.25%

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