Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, March 30 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
We said: Solomon Islands 2-1 Papua New Guinea
With the stakes so high, we expect Sunday's contest to be a cagey affair and with the last two competitive meetings going the way of the Solomon Islands, we think that they will edge out Papua New Guinea on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Papua New Guinea |
| 43.42% | 23.45% | 33.13% |
| Both teams to score 62.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
