Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.5%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
