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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo
Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Newtown
Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rushton (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 New Saints
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
63.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 20.08% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.1% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)41.17% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (0.041000000000004 0.04)38.64% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.038 0.04)75.38% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.82%
    Newtown AFC 16.1%
    Draw 20.08%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.44%
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.5%
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Connah's Quay vs Newtown

Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newtown AFC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Connah's Quay
Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
rhs 2.0
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