Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
