Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
