Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 48%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.
