Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 80.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 5.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
80.35% | 13.7% | 5.94% |
Both teams to score 38.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.82% | 8.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.33% | 28.66% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.41% | 58.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.09% | 89.91% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 15.02% 3-0 @ 12.53% 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.03% 4-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 4.2% 5-0 @ 3.93% 5-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.43% Total : 80.34% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.79% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.7% | 0-1 @ 2.56% 1-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 1.67% Total : 5.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |