Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
41.8% ( 0) | 25.21% ( -0) | 32.99% |
Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.01) | 47.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0) | 69.48% ( -0) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( 0.01) | 22.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( 0.01) | 56.1% ( -0) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0) | 27.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( 0) | 62.81% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 63 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 55 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 51 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 49 |
5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 46 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 34 |
9 | Clyde | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 15 |
10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 29 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 72 | -59 | 12 |
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