Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Spartak Moscow.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochi in this match.
