Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.