Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.