Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
42.32% | 27.92% | 29.76% |
Both teams to score 46.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.96% | 59.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.5% | 79.49% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% | 27.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% | 63.08% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% | 35.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% | 72.37% |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 29 |
3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 |
5 | Casa Pia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
9 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Vizela | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 |
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