Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
65.77% | 20.99% | 13.24% |
Both teams to score 43.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.17% | 50.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% | 72.71% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% | 14.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% | 42.82% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.38% | 48.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% | 83.68% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 13.13% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.69% Total : 13.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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