Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
29.35% ( 0.01) | 26.35% ( 0) | 44.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( -0.01) | 53.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( -0.01) | 74.9% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0) | 32.91% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0) | 69.49% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( -0.01) | 23.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% ( -0.02) | 58.2% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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