Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glentoran in this match.
