Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
