Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Fylde |
39.53% ( 0.48) | 25.18% ( 0.04) | 35.3% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% ( -0.25) | 46.61% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% ( -0.23) | 68.88% ( 0.23) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( 0.14) | 23.37% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.66% ( 0.2) | 57.34% ( -0.2) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( -0.41) | 25.66% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.43% ( -0.57) | 60.57% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 40 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 55 | 42 | 92 |
2 | Barnet | 39 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 53 | 18 | 71 |
3 | Bromley | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 70 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 |
8 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 |
9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 |
10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 |
15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 |
18 | Eastleigh | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 46 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 |
20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 |
21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 |
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