Southport 1-0 Chorley - National League North - October 17, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK at Merseyrail Community Stadium

Vassallo (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chorley
47.48%	23.86%	28.65%

Both teams to score 58.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85%

43.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45%

65.54%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55%

49.44%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84%

28.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15%

63.84%

Score Analysis

Southport 47.48%

Chorley 28.65%

Draw 23.86%

Southport	Draw	Chorley
2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.48%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.65%