Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.