Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
