MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 18:00:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 Shrewsbury will certainly be wounded by their heavy midweek defeat, but with home advantage back on their side against a Carlisle team in the midst of a rut, we fancy them to bounce back on Saturday and come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
35.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)29.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.56%
    Carlisle United 37.08%
    Draw 27.34%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-0
Shrewsbury
Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth392411463323183
2Derby CountyDerby39246969343578
3Bolton WanderersBolton39228971432874
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38218974462871
5Barnsley382011770482271
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391891262521063
7Lincoln CityLincoln3916131056332361
8Stevenage3817101149381161
9Blackpool391791357421560
10Leyton Orient391610134444058
11Wigan AthleticWigan39177155348550
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe381311145049150
13Bristol Rovers38148164857-950
14Northampton TownNorthampton39148175060-1050
15Exeter CityExeter39138183352-1947
16Charlton AthleticCharlton391015145758-145
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury39135212955-2644
18Reading39139175557-242
19Burton Albion38109193150-1939
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge38109193255-2339
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham3798203050-2035
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood39713194161-2034
23Port Vale3789203561-2633
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3858253367-3423
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!