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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Carlisle United |
40.82% ( -0.41) | 26.72% ( -0.17) | 32.46% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.28% ( 0.84) | 53.72% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( 0.7) | 75.2% ( -0.71) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( 0.17) | 25.89% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( 0.23) | 60.88% ( -0.23) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.83) | 30.89% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.96) | 67.18% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 39 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 83 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 74 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 74 | 46 | 28 | 71 |
5 | Barnsley | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 71 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 63 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
8 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 61 |
9 | Blackpool | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 60 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 58 |
11 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 50 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 50 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 50 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 47 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 45 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 44 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 42 |
19 | Burton Albion | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 39 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 39 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 35 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
23 | Port Vale | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |