Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
