Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
