Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.