Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Wales had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.