Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.