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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Basel
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel
2 - 2
Zalgiris
Diouf (1'), Zeqiri (17')
Xhaka (83'), Burger (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Oyewusi (42', 62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 3-1 Winterthur
Sunday, October 23 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

FK Zalgiris

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-1 Pyunik
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys292.23Nsame
2Grasshopper251.92Kawabe
3St Gallen241.85Akolo
4Luzern201.67Meyer
5Sion201.54Stojilkovic
6Lugano191.46Celar
7Basel181.50Burger
8Servette161.23Fofana
9Winterthur100.77Buess
10FC Zurich80.62Dzemaili

We said: Basel 3-0 FK Zalgiris

 FK Zalgiris have struggled for goals in the competition so far, scoring in just one of their four games which could be a problem against the current group leaders. Basel have the chance to secure their qualification to the next round with a win in this match, and in front of their own fans that is something they will believe can happen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawFK Zalgiris
53.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 26.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 20.23% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.72% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)80.02% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)56.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)80.73% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Basel 53.47%
    FK Zalgiris 20.23%
    Draw 26.27%
BaselDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 15.01%
2-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 53.47%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Basel vs Zalgiris

Basel
85.0%
Draw
8.3%
FK Zalgiris
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group H
Zalgiris
0-1
Basel

Kyeremeh (37')
Zeqiri (62')
rhs 2.0
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