Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Astana win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.