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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
11.67% | 17.06% | 71.28% |
Both teams to score 52.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% | 37.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.51% | 59.49% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% | 42.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.07% | 78.93% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.75% | 9.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.42% 1-0 @ 3.36% 2-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.67% | 1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.07% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.06% | 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 7.56% 0-4 @ 5.27% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 2.51% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 1% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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