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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 4.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 4-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
86.32% ( -0.02) | 9.05% ( 0.01) | 4.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.65% ( 0.01) | 22.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.63% ( 0.01) | 41.36% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.56% ( -0) | 3.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.98% ( -0.01) | 15.02% ( 0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.89% ( 0.05) | 48.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.69% ( 0.04) | 83.3% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
3-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.19% 6-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 4.08% Total : 86.32% | 1-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 9.05% | 1-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 4.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |