Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldosivi would win this match.
