Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
