Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
