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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Internacional
0 - 0
Melgar

de Pena (90+2')
Gabriel (74')
FT

Reyna (55')
Melgar win 3-1 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Internacional and Melgar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melgar 0-0 Internacional
Thursday, August 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Internacional 2-0 Melgar

Melgar have had a record-breaking run in this season's Copa Sudamericana, but we think that it is likely to come to an end in Porto Alegre on Thursday. The hosts have more individual quality and, providing that they keep their cool with 11 men on the pitch, should have too much in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
InternacionalDrawMelgar
53.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.96% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 20.6%
Both teams to score 44.13% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.265 0.27)58.26% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.207 0.21)78.89% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.14100000000001 0.14)21.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (0.218 0.22)55.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.51% (0.153 0.15)43.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.3% (0.128 0.13)79.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 53.44%
    Melgar 20.6%
    Draw 25.95%
InternacionalDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.6%

How you voted: Internacional vs Melgar

Internacional
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Melgar
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 11.15pm
Melgar
0-0
Internacional

Cuesta (58'), Deneumostier (90+5')

Alemao (30'), Bustos (41')
Alemao (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal37256683434081
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd37226956421472
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371881171512062
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea371110163746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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