Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.75% ( -0) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0.05) | 71.47% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% ( 0.03) | 79.12% ( -0.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( 0.03) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( 0.05) | 44.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |