Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Penarol
Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
| 45.7% | 25.24% | 29.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
