Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
