Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nacional
3 - 0
Aucas
Duarte (12', 31'), Arevalo (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mina (77'), Briones (84')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Nacional and Aucas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Aucas |
51.07% ( 0.21) | 26.32% ( 0.04) | 22.61% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
