CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 17, 2023 at 2am UK
Nippert Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 4-0 GhanaWednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
We said: USA 3-0 Trinidad and Tobago
Even without two top-class attacking threats in Pulisic and Weah, the Yanks have an embarrassment of riches in the attack, and although they have not always been at their best since Berhalter returned, their overall quality always seems to overpower CONCACAF opponents.
It would take a Herculean effort for the Soca Warriors to upset an American side with many players featuring in the top European leagues, whereas most of the Trinidad squad apply their trade with clubs in either lower-tiered leagues or inferior ones when compared to most across Europe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.
| Result |
| USA | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
78.84% ( -0.97) | 14.23% ( 0.35) | 6.94% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( 2.3) |
| 60.31% ( 0.99) | 39.69% ( -0.99) |
| 37.96% ( 1.02) | 62.04% ( -1.02) |
| 91.89% ( 0.01) | 8.11% ( -0.01) |
