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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.26% ( 0.05) | 21.84% ( -0.12) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 0.64) | 40.12% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( 0.65) | 62.49% ( -0.65) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.23) | 14.14% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( 0.45) | 41.79% ( -0.45) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( 0.42) | 31.87% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0.48) | 68.31% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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