MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 15:30:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
48.05% (0.416 0.42) 25.09% (0.154 0.15) 26.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-1.032 -1.03)49.7% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.93 -0.93)71.72% (0.928 0.93)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.71% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.377 -0.38)53.31% (0.376 0.38)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.992 -0.99)32.91% (0.99 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-1.118 -1.12)69.48% (1.115 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.05%
    Birmingham City 26.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.85%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
76.3%
Draw
7.9%
Birmingham City
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 39
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!